Florida TaxWatch's compilation of state estimates puts Hillsborough County's total local revenue loss from Amendment 3 at $342.0M in FY 2027-28 and $3,430.1M over five years, across 5 local governments in the estimate. The first-year hit equals 29.6% of the county government's FY 2025-26 property tax levies (statewide rank 34 of 67). The 2025 average total millage rate is 18.8553 mills (rank 5), of which 11.7996 is non-school, the part Amendment 3 affects.
Commissioners reviewed a consultant (Bryant Miller Olive) report on funding fire rescue through a fire special assessment fee or a municipal services taxing unit (MSTU). No rate has been adopted.
Sources: Pie-Sun, Aug 7 2026 · WTSP
No adopted changes tracked yet. The items above are under discussion only.
| Fiscal year | Estimated loss |
|---|---|
| FY 2027-28 | $342.0M |
| FY 2028-29 | $616.2M |
| FY 2029-30 | $709.2M |
| FY 2030-31 | $820.7M |
| FY 2031-32 | $942.0M |
| 5-year total | $3,430.1M |
Source: Florida TaxWatch Property Tax Resource Center (Revenue Estimating Conference estimates and DOR 2025 millage, Oct 2026).
| Government | Type | FY 2027-28 | 5-year total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough County | County government | $260,855,305 | $2,579,896,298 |
| All ISDs in Hillsborough | Independent Special District | $33,412,195 | $334,168,296 |
| Plant City | Municipality | $4,158,269 | $41,600,894 |
| Tampa | Municipality | $40,510,382 | $444,880,153 |
| Temple Terrace | Municipality | $3,015,368 | $29,507,787 |
Statewide rank in parentheses (1 = highest). Source: Florida TaxWatch Property Tax Resource Center (Revenue Estimating Conference estimates and DOR 2025 millage, Oct 2026).
Illustrative: on a $300,000 homestead at the county's average non-school rate of 11.7996 mills, non-school tax is about $2,933 under 2026 rules, $1,770 in 2027 and $590 in 2028, before any new fees or rate changes. A new resident arriving in 2027 would pay about $2,950. Run your own numbers.
Nearby: Highlands County · Holmes County · all counties
About $342.0M in FY 2027-28 and $3,430.1M over five years for all local governments in the county, per Revenue Estimating Conference figures compiled by Florida TaxWatch.
The 2025 average total millage rate is 18.8553 mills, including 11.7996 mills of non-school levies. Your exact rate depends on your city and special districts. Source: Florida TaxWatch from Florida DOR data.
Under discussion, not adopted: Fire rescue funding: fire special assessment fee or MSTU under review.
Florida taxing authorities propose rates in TRIM notices mailed in August and adopt them at September budget hearings. The first budget under the $150,000 exemption is FY 2027-28.
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